In MMA betting, not all records are created equal. The level of competition a fighter has faced—known as Strength of Schedule (SOS)—can reveal insights that most bettors miss.
What Is SOS?
✔️ It’s the quality of opponents a fighter has faced.
✔️ Fighters who compete against top contenders are battle-tested.
✔️ Fighters with padded records may remain unproven at the elite level.
Why SOS Matters:
✔️ Tough opponents hone a fighter’s skills and resilience.
✔️ BUT prolonged exposure to elite competition can wear fighters down.
SOS isn’t just about who they fought—it’s about how those fights shaped them.
Example:
Marvin Vettori:
✔️ Struggles against elite fighters like Israel Adesanya.
✔️ Dominates mid-tier competition.
SOS tells you Vettori excels against lower-level opponents but hits a ceiling at the top.
How to Use SOS in Betting:
✔️ Fighters with a tough SOS often have inflated odds after losses.
✔️ Example: Rob Font vs. Adrian Yanez. Font’s SOS against killers like Jose Aldo and Marlon Vera gave him the edge.
✔️ Fighters with padded records often look better on paper but may be unproven.
Takeaway:
✔️ Analyze a fighter’s past opponents.
✔️ Understand how their competition shaped them.
✔️ Use SOS to uncover undervalued fighters and market inefficiencies.
Don’t just judge records—analyze the journey. SOS gives you context the public often overlooks.
How do you factor Strength of Schedule into your betting strategy? Let’s discuss!
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