Let’s talk about underdogs—the fighters the odds say “probably won’t win.” Betting on underdogs is one of the most strategic approaches in MMA betting. Done right, it can separate the winners from the losers.
Why Are Underdogs Special?
✔️ Betting on a +300 underdog means you’re wagering on someone with a 25% implied chance of winning.
✔️ You don’t need them to win as often to stay profitable.
✔️ Compared to favourites, underdogs offer more “wiggle room” for long-term success.
Why Underdogs Have an Edge:
✔️ Betting on a -400 favourite? You need an 80% success rate just to break even.
✔️ Betting on a +400 underdog? You only need a 20% success rate to profit.
This risk-reward ratio makes underdogs incredibly appealing for sharp bettors.
The Opportunity Lies Between Extremes:
Most bettors fall into one of two groups:
1️⃣ Favourite Lovers: Only bet on “safe” options and big names.
2️⃣ Dog Chasers: Exclusively bet on underdogs, rejecting favourites outright.
The real edge? Knowing when and where underdogs offer true value.
Finding the Value in Underdogs:
✔️ The betting market often overvalues favourites, inflating their odds.
✔️ Underdogs, on the other hand, are undervalued because they fly under the radar.
✔️ Your job is to spot the opportunities where the market has underestimated the underdog.
Quick Example:
✔️ A +400 underdog only needs to win 1 out of 5 fights for you to profit.
✔️ A -400 favourite, however, needs to win 4 out of 5 just to break even.
The difference? Underdogs reward risk-takers with smarter returns.
Takeaway:
Betting on underdogs isn’t about winning every time—it’s about maximizing risk vs. reward. By focusing on undervalued opportunities, you can unlock massive potential returns.
What’s your approach to betting on underdogs? Let’s discuss in the comments!
#MMA #SportsBetting #Underdogs
